Always chasing
5/6Venezia conceded first in 5 of their last 6 (league 46%).
Genoa vs Venezia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Unlucky
Venezia are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 6 with xG
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Venezia 28% to winGenoa 45%
Genoa vs Venezia score prediction
Serie A
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, a little over the Serie A average of 2.5.
goals expected
Genoa1.5Venezia1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Genoa vs Venezia: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Genoa vs Venezia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie A
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Genoa to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 3,595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,659 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,155 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 4,542 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Genoa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Genoa 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,451 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Venezia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Venezia 0–1 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Genoa vs Venezia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Genoa vs Venezia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Genoa–
Venezia–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Genoa–Venezia–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
143%
X25%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 84% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
133%
X40%
227%
1st Score
151%
X7%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
18%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Genoa vs Venezia: the stats that stand out
Serie A
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Venezia: always chasing and leaky · Genoa: shot-shy
5/6Leaky
0/6Venezia kept no clean sheet in their last 6 (league 30%).
Shot-shy
5/10Genoa failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Genoa vs Venezia: attack vs defence
Serie A
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Genoa: weak attack, weak defence (0.99 xG, 1.49 xGA a game)
- Venezia: good attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 2.00 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Genoa vs Venezia form and luck check
Serie A
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A gamesVenezia are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- GenoaBookmakers: 45% to win today.−3.3
- VeneziaBookmakers: 28% to win today. · 6 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals−6.5
Last 5 matches
GenoaW
L
D
L
L
VeneziaL
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Genoa 15th of 20 · Venezia 18th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Genoa vs Venezia: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie A
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scoredGenoa games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Serie A average (48%), Venezia games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Genoa4 of 10
Venezia3 of 6
BTTSleague 47%
Genoa5 of 10
Venezia3 of 6
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 381 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Genoa vs Venezia corners, cards and goal times
Serie A
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameVenezia: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the Serie A average
Genoa
Venezia
4.3
Corners won · league 4.4
4.3
4.3
Corners conceded · league 4.4
4.0
1.9
Cards · league 1.9
3.0
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.3
50%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
40%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
20%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
44%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Genoa4/5
Venezia3/5
Both Teams to Score
Genoa4/5
Venezia3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Genoa3/5
Venezia4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Genoa4/5
Venezia2/5
First Half Result
Genoa1/5
Venezia2/5
Correct Score
Genoa2/5
Venezia0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction