Fast starters
6/8Frosinone scored first in 6 of their last 8 (league 47%).
Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Cagliari are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Frosinone are also ahead of their chances: about +6 points.
Cagliari vs Frosinone score prediction
Serie A
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Serie A game (average 2.6).
goals expected
Cagliari1.4Frosinone1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match Cagliari vs Frosinone will be played on Saturday, November 7 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 11 of the Serie A, played in Italy. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Cagliari vs Frosinone, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Cagliari vs Frosinone — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cagliari vs Frosinone. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Cagliari–
Frosinone–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Cagliari–Frosinone–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
134%
X27%
239%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
129%
X39%
232%
1st Score
147%
X8%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
21%
X-X
18%
X-1
12%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cagliari vs Frosinone: the stats that stand out
Serie A
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Frosinone: fast starters
6/8Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Cagliari vs Frosinone: attack vs defence
Serie A
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Cagliari: weak attack, weak defence (1.29 xG, 1.80 xGA a game)
- Frosinone: good attack, weak defence (1.75 xG, 2.17 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Cagliari vs Frosinone form and luck check
Serie A
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A gamesBoth sides are winning more than their chances suggest
- Cagliari+8.8
- Frosinone8 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals+5.8
Last 5 matches
FrosinoneD
W
L
W
D
CagliariL
L
D
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Cagliari 16th of 20 · Frosinone 10th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Cagliari vs Frosinone: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie A
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scoredFrosinone games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie A average (50%), Cagliari games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Cagliari4 of 10
Frosinone5 of 8
BTTSleague 47%
Cagliari4 of 10
Frosinone4 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 380 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Cagliari vs Frosinone corners, cards and goal times
Serie A
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFrosinone: last 8 with these statsBoth sides score early
Cagliari
Frosinone
3.9
Corners won · league 4.5
5.9
5.6
Corners conceded · league 4.5
7.0
1.5
Cards · league 1.8
2.0
1.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
2.3
60%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
71%
10%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
12%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
62%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
8%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Cagliari2/5
Frosinone2/5
Both Teams to Score
Cagliari2/5
Frosinone3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Cagliari4/5
Frosinone3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Cagliari4/5
Frosinone3/5
First Half Result
Cagliari3/5
Frosinone2/5
Correct Score
Cagliari0/5
Frosinone1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction