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Pisa vs Como 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
PisaPisa

0–3

ComoComo
1.2Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Pisa would usually take 0.7 points and Como 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Como.

Pisa −0.7 pts vs chancesComo +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Pisa vs Como stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Como had clearly more shots on target

Pisa

Como

4

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

3

1

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

2

27%

Possession

73%

The match between Pisa and Como ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Como win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Como – Sassuolo prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Pisa vs Como — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Como to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,305 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Pisa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pisa 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Como Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Como 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Pisa vs Como 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pisa vs Como. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie A - Italy
PisaPisa0
ComoComo3

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

127%
X26%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Pisa40%60%74%26%
Como25%75%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Pisa92%8%98%2%
Como83%17%94%6%

1st Half

122%
X44%
234%

1st Score

134%
X9%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-2

19%

X-X

15%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.5%

1-1

12.2%

1-0

9.2%

1-2

9.0%

0-2

8.9%

0-0

8.7%

2-1

6.3%

2-2

4.6%

1-3

4.3%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Como – Sassuolo prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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