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Lecce vs Roma 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
LecceLecce

0–2

RomaRoma
0.6Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Lecce would usually take 0.9 points and Roma 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Roma.

Lecce −0.9 pts vs chancesRoma +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lecce vs Roma stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Roma had more than twice the shots on target

Lecce

Roma

1

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

3

2

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

1

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Lecce and Roma ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Roma win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lecce – Juventus prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Lecce vs Roma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roma to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Lecce Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lecce 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Roma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roma 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lecce vs Roma 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lecce vs Roma. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie A - Italy
LecceLecce0
RomaRoma2

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

122%
X25%
253%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lecce43%57%78%22%
Roma22%78%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lecce94%6%99%1%
Roma79%21%93%7%

1st Half

117%
X43%
240%

1st Score

131%
X8%
261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

17%

X-X

16%

1-1

11%

X-1

8%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

12.6%

1-1

11.9%

1-2

10.0%

0-2

9.9%

0-0

8.2%

1-0

7.6%

2-1

5.8%

0-3

5.5%

1-3

4.9%

2-2

4.4%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lecce – Juventus prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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