2. Leagues
  3. Serie A
  4. Venezia vs Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
VeneziaVenezia

0–2

LazioLazio
1.8Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Venezia would usually take 1.5 points and Lazio 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lazio.

Venezia −1.5 pts vs chancesLazio +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Venezia vs Lazio stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Venezia had more than twice the shots on target

Venezia

Lazio

6

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

2

7

Corners

2

6

Yellow cards

0

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Venezia and Lazio ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Venezia win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sassuolo – Lazio prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Venezia vs Lazio — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Venezia to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lazio to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 1,070 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,414 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Venezia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Venezia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Lazio Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lazio 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lazio 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 364 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Venezia vs Lazio 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Venezia vs Lazio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie A - Italy
VeneziaVenezia0
LazioLazio2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

142%
X26%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Venezia24%76%54%46%
Lazio31%69%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Venezia78%22%91%9%
Lazio83%17%94%6%

1st Half

134%
X47%
219%

1st Score

157%
X6%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

8.4%

1-0

7.8%

1-2

7.3%

2-2

6.9%

2-0

6.2%

0-1

6.0%

0-0

5.6%

3-1

4.5%

0-2

4.3%

1-3

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

3-0

3.2%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sassuolo – Lazio prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores