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Ponte Preta vs Juventude

Ponte Preta vs Juventude 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 32)

Fair result

Ponte Preta

0–2

Juventude

0.8Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Ponte Preta would usually take 1.0 points and Juventude 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Juventude.

Ponte Preta −1.0 pts vs chancesJuventude +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ponte Preta vs Juventude stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Juventude had more than twice the shots on target

Ponte Preta

Juventude

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Ponte Preta and Juventude ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Juventude win with 51% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Juventude – São Bernardo prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Ponte Preta vs Juventude — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juventude to win

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,088 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 83%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,739 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Juventude ahead at half-time.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Ponte Preta Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ponte Preta 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 83%Bookmakers 91%

Our track record

In 375 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 81.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).

Juventude Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juventude 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Juventude 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ponte Preta vs Juventude 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ponte Preta vs Juventude. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Ponte Preta0

Juventude2

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Ponte Preta0

Juventude2

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

121%

X29%

251%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	38%	62%	65%	35%	73%	27%	92%	8%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	38%	62%	65%	35%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	73%	27%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	49%	51%	83%	17%	97%	3%	99%	1%
	27%	73%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	49%	51%	83%	17%
	27%	73%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	97%	3%	99%	1%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

119%

X52%

229%

1st Score

135%

X13%

252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

21%

X-2

19%

1-1

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

16.2%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

12.6%

0-2

10.9%

1-0

9.1%

1-2

8.7%

2-1

4.7%

0-3

4.2%

1-3

4.0%

2-0

3.6%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ponte Preta vs Juventude — Recent Form

Juventude have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Ponte Preta have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Juventude

Ponte Preta

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Juventude

3/5

Ponte Preta

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Juventude

4/5

Ponte Preta

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Juventude

3/5

Ponte Preta

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Juventude

5/5

Ponte Preta

4/5

First Half Result

Juventude

3/5

Ponte Preta

3/5

Correct Score

Juventude

0/5

Ponte Preta

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Juventude – São Bernardo prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).