Vila Nova vs Cuiabá 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 32)
Vila Nova0–0
CuiabáOn these chances Vila Nova would usually take 1.8 points and Cuiabá 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Vila Nova.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Vila Nova vs Cuiabá stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vila Nova had more than twice the shots on target
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
3
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
2
8
Corners
4
4
Yellow cards
1
49%
Possession
51%
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Vila Nova to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Vila Nova 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Cuiabá 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vila Nova vs Cuiabá. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Vila Nova0
Cuiabá0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Vila Nova0Cuiabá0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| 47% | 53% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
22%
X-X
17%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-1
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá — Recent Form
Vila Nova have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Cuiabá have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Vila NovaCuiabáOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CuiabáVila NovaBoth Teams to Score
CuiabáVila NovaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CuiabáVila NovaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CuiabáVila NovaFirst Half Result
CuiabáVila NovaCorrect Score
CuiabáVila Nova