Juventude vs São Bernardo 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)
Juventude2–2
São BernardoOn these chances Juventude would usually take 1.2 points and São Bernardo 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Juventude.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Juventude vs São Bernardo stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Juventude
São Bernardo
4
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
3
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
4
53%
Possession
48%
Juventude vs São Bernardo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Juventude to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Juventude 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Juventude 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
São Bernardo 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Juventude vs São Bernardo 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Juventude vs São Bernardo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Juventude2
São Bernardo2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Juventude2São Bernardo2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 61% | 39% |
| 38% | 62% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
19%
X-1
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Juventude vs São Bernardo — Recent Form
Juventude have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. São Bernardo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
JuventudeSão BernardoOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
JuventudeSão BernardoBoth Teams to Score
JuventudeSão BernardoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
JuventudeSão BernardoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
JuventudeSão BernardoFirst Half Result
JuventudeSão BernardoCorrect Score
JuventudeSão Bernardo