Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 34)
Atlético GO drew despite more chances
Ponte Preta1–1
Atlético GOOn these chances Ponte Preta would usually take 0.5 points and Atlético GO 2.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético GO.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
5
Shots on target
6
3
Big chances
2
1
Corners
18
3
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
20%
Possession
80%
Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético GO to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 804 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Atlético GO ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 549 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 34.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Ponte Preta 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 392 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.3%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético GO 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Atlético GO 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 843 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Ponte Preta1
Atlético GO1Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Ponte Preta1Atlético GO1Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 81% | 19% |
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-2
20%
X-X
17%
1-1
11%
X-1
9%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
14.3%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO — Recent Form
Atlético GO have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético GOPonte PretaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético GOPonte PretaBoth Teams to Score
Atlético GOPonte PretaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético GOPonte PretaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético GOPonte PretaFirst Half Result
Atlético GOPonte PretaCorrect Score
Atlético GOPonte Preta