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Sport Recife vs Fortaleza

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 34)

Fair result

Sport Recife

0–2

Fortaleza

1.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Sport Recife would usually take 1.8 points and Fortaleza 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Fortaleza.

Sport Recife −1.8 pts vs chancesFortaleza +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Fortaleza had more than twice the shots on target

Sport Recife

Fortaleza

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Sport Recife and Fortaleza ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Sport Recife win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botafogo SP – Sport Recife prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sport Recife to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fortaleza to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Sport Recife Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sport Recife 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Fortaleza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortaleza 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Sport Recife0

Fortaleza2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Sport Recife0

Fortaleza2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

142%

X30%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	53%	47%	66%	34%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%	84%	16%	95%	5%
	35%	65%	70%	30%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%
	35%	65%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	95%	5%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

133%

X46%

222%

1st Score

154%

X8%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.0%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

8.4%

0-1

8.1%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

7.1%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

4.2%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza — Recent Form

Sport Recife have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Fortaleza have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sport Recife

Fortaleza

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sport Recife

2/5

Fortaleza

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Sport Recife

4/5

Fortaleza

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sport Recife

3/5

Fortaleza

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sport Recife

5/5

Fortaleza

3/5

First Half Result

Sport Recife

2/5

Fortaleza

1/5

Correct Score

Sport Recife

0/5

Fortaleza

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botafogo SP – Sport Recife prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).