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Ceará vs Juventude

Ceará vs Juventude 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 34)

Fair result

Ceará

2–2

Juventude

1.9Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Ceará would usually take 1.5 points and Juventude 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Juventude.

Ceará −0.5 pts vs chancesJuventude −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ceará vs Juventude stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ceará

Juventude

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

48%

Possession

53%

The match between Ceará and Juventude ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Ceará win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ceará – Goiás prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Ceará vs Juventude — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceará to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Juventude to win.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 80%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,703 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Ceará Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceará 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,662 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Juventude Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juventude 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ceará vs Juventude 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ceará vs Juventude. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Ceará2

Juventude2

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Ceará2

Juventude2

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

135%

X30%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	34%	66%	59%	41%	70%	30%	90%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	69%	31%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	34%	66%	70%	30%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	69%	31%
	34%	66%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

126%

X50%

224%

1st Score

148%

X11%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

1-1

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

1-0

11.5%

0-0

11.1%

0-1

11.0%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

6.3%

0-2

5.7%

2-2

4.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ceará vs Juventude — Recent Form

Juventude have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Ceará have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Juventude

Ceará

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Juventude

3/5

Ceará

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Juventude

3/5

Ceará

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Juventude

1/5

Ceará

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Juventude

2/5

Ceará

3/5

First Half Result

Juventude

2/5

Ceará

4/5

Correct Score

Juventude

0/5

Ceará

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ceará – Goiás prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).