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Avaí vs Botafogo SP

Avaí vs Botafogo SP 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 35)

Smash-and-grab

Botafogo SP won with less than half the chances

Avaí

0–2

Botafogo SP

2.6Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Avaí would usually take 2.5 points and Botafogo SP 0.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Avaí.

Avaí −2.5 pts vs chancesBotafogo SP +2.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Avaí vs Botafogo SP stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Avaí had more than twice the shots on target

Avaí

Botafogo SP

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Avaí and Botafogo SP ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Avaí win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botafogo SP – Sport Recife prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Avaí vs Botafogo SP — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avaí to win

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Avaí Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avaí 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Botafogo SP Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Botafogo SP 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,393 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Avaí vs Botafogo SP 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Avaí vs Botafogo SP. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Avaí0

Botafogo SP2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Avaí0

Botafogo SP2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

143%

X28%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	70%	56%	44%	68%	32%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	70%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	62%	38%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	37%	63%	73%	27%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	62%	38%
	37%	63%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

132%

X49%

219%

1st Score

154%

X9%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

1-0

12.5%

2-1

9.5%

0-1

9.1%

0-0

9.0%

2-0

7.7%

1-2

7.2%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Avaí vs Botafogo SP — Recent Form

Botafogo SP have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Avaí have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Botafogo SP

Avaí

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Botafogo SP

1/5

Avaí

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Botafogo SP

2/5

Avaí

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Botafogo SP

3/5

Avaí

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Botafogo SP

5/5

Avaí

5/5

First Half Result

Botafogo SP

3/5

Avaí

2/5

Correct Score

Botafogo SP

0/5

Avaí

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botafogo SP – Sport Recife prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).