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Atlético GO vs Novorizontino

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 35)

Smash-and-grab

Novorizontino won with fewer chances than Atlético GO

Atlético GO

0–1

Novorizontino

2.5Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Atlético GO would usually take 1.9 points and Novorizontino 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético GO.

Atlético GO −1.9 pts vs chancesNovorizontino +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Novorizontino had clearly more shots on target

Atlético GO

Novorizontino

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Atlético GO and Novorizontino ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Atlético GO win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novorizontino – Operário PR prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético GO to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Atlético GO Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético GO 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Novorizontino Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Novorizontino 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético GO vs Novorizontino. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Atlético GO0

Novorizontino1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Atlético GO0

Novorizontino1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

140%

X31%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	62%	38%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	34%	66%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	62%	38%
	34%	66%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

132%

X45%

222%

1st Score

153%

X9%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

19%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.7%

1-0

11.3%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

9.2%

0-0

8.8%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

7.1%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

3.2%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino — Recent Form

Novorizontino have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Atlético GO have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Novorizontino

Atlético GO

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlético GO

2/5

Novorizontino

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlético GO

3/5

Novorizontino

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlético GO

4/5

Novorizontino

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético GO

4/5

Novorizontino

3/5

First Half Result

Atlético GO

4/5

Novorizontino

2/5

Correct Score

Atlético GO

0/5

Novorizontino

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novorizontino – Operário PR prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).