Operário PR vs Athletic Club 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 35)
1–0
On these chances Operário PR would usually take 1.4 points and Athletic Club 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Operário PR.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Operário PR vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Operário PR had clearly more shots on target
Operário PR
Athletic Club
3
Shots on target
2
0
Big chances
0
6
Corners
10
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
46%
Possession
55%
Operário PR vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Operário PR to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Operário PR 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Operário PR vs Athletic Club 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Operário PR vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% | |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-1
19%
X-X
19%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Operário PR vs Athletic Club — Recent Form
Operário PR have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Athletic Club have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score