1. Operário PR vs Athletic Club

Operário PR vs Athletic Club 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 35)

Fair result
Operário PROperário PR

1–0

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1.1Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Operário PR would usually take 1.4 points and Athletic Club 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Operário PR.

Operário PR +1.6 pts vs chancesAthletic Club −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Operário PR vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Operário PR had clearly more shots on target

Operário PR

Athletic Club

3

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

0

6

Corners

10

3

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

46%

Possession

55%

The match between Operário PR and Athletic Club ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Operário PR win with 49% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novorizontino – Operário PR prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Operário PR vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Operário PR to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Operário PR Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Operário PR 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Athletic Club Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Athletic Club 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Operário PR vs Athletic Club 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Operário PR vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Operário PROperário PR1
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

149%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Operário PR24%76%57%43%
Athletic Club40%60%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Operário PR82%18%94%6%
Athletic Club92%8%98%2%

1st Half

134%
X48%
218%

1st Score

158%
X9%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

19%

X-X

19%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.6%

1-1

12.0%

2-1

10.3%

2-0

8.7%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

6.6%

3-1

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Operário PR vs Athletic Club — Recent Form

Operário PR have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Athletic Club have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Operário PROperário PR
W
L
L
L
L
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
L
D
D
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Operário PROperário PR
3/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Operário PROperário PR
2/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Operário PROperário PR
3/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Operário PROperário PR
5/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4/5

First Half Result

Operário PROperário PR
2/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3/5

Correct Score

Operário PROperário PR
1/5
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Novorizontino – Operário PR prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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