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Modena vs Mantova

Modena vs Mantova 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Modena

1–1

Mantova

1.0Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Modena would usually take 1.4 points and Mantova 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Modena.

Modena −0.4 pts vs chancesMantova −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Modena vs Mantova stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mantova had clearly more shots on target

Modena

Mantova

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Modena and Mantova ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Modena win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Hellas Verona prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Modena vs Mantova — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Modena to win

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,749 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,330 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Modena Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Modena 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Mantova Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,321 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Modena vs Mantova 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Modena vs Mantova. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Modena1

Mantova1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Modena1

Mantova1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

149%

X24%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	54%	46%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%	75%	25%	90%	10%
	36%	64%	67%	33%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%
	36%	64%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	90%	10%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

139%

X44%

218%

1st Score

164%

X5%

230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.2%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.9%

0-1

5.5%

0-0

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.9%

3-2

3.3%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Modena vs Mantova — Recent Form

Modena have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Mantova have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Modena

Mantova

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Modena

3/5

Mantova

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Modena

3/5

Mantova

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Modena

0/5

Mantova

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Modena

4/5

Mantova

4/5

First Half Result

Modena

2/5

Mantova

2/5

Correct Score

Modena

1/5

Mantova

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Hellas Verona prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).