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Cremonese vs Benevento

Cremonese vs Benevento 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Cremonese

2–0

Benevento

1.4Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Cremonese would usually take 1.5 points and Benevento 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cremonese.

Cremonese +1.5 pts vs chancesBenevento −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cremonese vs Benevento stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Cremonese

Benevento

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

38%

Possession

63%

The match between Cremonese and Benevento ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Benevento win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Benevento – Avellino prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Cremonese vs Benevento — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Cremonese to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Cremonese Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cremonese 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Benevento Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cremonese vs Benevento 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cremonese vs Benevento. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Cremonese2

Benevento0

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Cremonese2

Benevento0

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

134%

X28%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%	88%	12%	97%	3%
	30%	70%	64%	36%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	30%	70%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	97%	3%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

125%

X43%

232%

1st Score

142%

X9%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

0-1

10.6%

1-0

9.6%

0-0

9.1%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

7.4%

0-2

6.7%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

4.8%

1-3

3.5%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cremonese vs Benevento — Recent Form

Benevento have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Cremonese have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Benevento

Cremonese

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Benevento

1/5

Cremonese

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Benevento

3/5

Cremonese

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Benevento

4/5

Cremonese

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Benevento

4/5

Cremonese

4/5

First Half Result

Benevento

1/5

Cremonese

2/5

Correct Score

Benevento

0/5

Cremonese

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Benevento – Avellino prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).