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Reggiana vs Venezia

Reggiana vs Venezia 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result

Reggiana

1–3

Venezia

1.7Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Reggiana would usually take 1.2 points and Venezia 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Venezia.

Reggiana −1.2 pts vs chancesVenezia +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Reggiana vs Venezia stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Reggiana

Venezia

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

36%

Possession

64%

The match between Reggiana and Venezia ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Venezia win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Reggiana vs Venezia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Venezia to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Venezia ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 550 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Reggiana Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Reggiana 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Venezia Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Venezia 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Venezia 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Reggiana vs Venezia 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Reggiana vs Venezia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Reggiana1

Venezia3

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Reggiana1

Venezia3

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

130%

X28%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%	68%	32%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	29%	71%	62%	38%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	29%	71%	62%	38%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

122%

X47%

231%

1st Score

136%

X9%

255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

X-X

18%

X-2

17%

1-1

14%

X-1

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

12.0%

1-0

10.4%

0-0

9.5%

1-2

8.7%

0-2

7.7%

2-1

6.6%

2-0

5.2%

2-2

5.1%

1-3

3.8%

0-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score