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Frosinone vs Pescara 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 28)

Robbed

Frosinone drew despite more chances

FrosinoneFrosinone

2–2

PescaraPescara
2.6Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Frosinone would usually take 2.2 points and Pescara 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Frosinone.

Frosinone −1.2 pts vs chancesPescara +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Frosinone vs Pescara stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Frosinone

Pescara

6

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

0

12

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Frosinone and Pescara ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Frosinone win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Frosinone vs Pescara — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Frosinone to win

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Frosinone ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 2,245 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Frosinone Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Frosinone 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Frosinone 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Pescara Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pescara 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Frosinone vs Pescara 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Frosinone vs Pescara. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie B - Italy
FrosinoneFrosinone2
PescaraPescara2

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

154%
X25%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Frosinone20%80%51%49%
Pescara44%56%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Frosinone77%23%91%9%
Pescara93%7%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X41%
220%

1st Score

159%
X8%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.5%

1-1

11.5%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

9.8%

0-0

7.5%

0-1

6.6%

1-2

5.5%

3-0

5.3%

3-1

5.3%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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