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Modena vs Cesena 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

Robbed

Modena drew despite more chances

ModenaModena

0–0

CesenaCesena
1.5Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Modena would usually take 2.3 points and Cesena 0.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Modena.

Modena −1.3 pts vs chancesCesena +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Modena vs Cesena stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Modena had more than twice the shots on target

Modena

Cesena

4

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

0

7

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

0

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Modena and Cesena ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Modena win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Modena – Cesena prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Modena vs Cesena — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Modena to win

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Modena Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Modena 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Modena 2+ goals.

Our model 65%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Cesena Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cesena 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Modena vs Cesena 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Modena vs Cesena. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie B - Italy
ModenaModena0
CesenaCesena0

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

138%
X28%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Modena30%70%65%35%
Cesena33%67%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Modena87%13%96%4%
Cesena88%12%96%4%

1st Half

131%
X46%
224%

1st Score

151%
X9%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

19%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

1-0

10.8%

0-1

9.5%

0-0

8.5%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

6.7%

0-2

5.7%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

3.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Modena – Cesena prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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