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Mantova vs Juve Stabia 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

Fair result
MantovaMantova

2–0

Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
1.5Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Mantova would usually take 2.3 points and Juve Stabia 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Mantova.

Mantova +0.7 pts vs chancesJuve Stabia −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mantova vs Juve Stabia stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mantova had more than twice the shots on target

Mantova

Juve Stabia

4

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

0

6

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

7

0

Red cards

1

67%

Possession

34%

The match between Mantova and Juve Stabia ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mantova win with 41% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Cremonese prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Mantova vs Juve Stabia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Mantova Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Juve Stabia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juve Stabia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mantova vs Juve Stabia 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mantova vs Juve Stabia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie B - Italy
MantovaMantova2
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia0

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

141%
X29%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mantova29%71%64%36%
Juve Stabia37%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mantova87%13%96%4%
Juve Stabia92%8%98%2%

1st Half

130%
X46%
225%

1st Score

147%
X10%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

19%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

12.3%

0-1

10.0%

0-0

10.0%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.2%

0-2

5.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Cremonese prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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