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Benevento vs Cesena

Benevento vs Cesena 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Benevento

2–0

Cesena

1.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Benevento would usually take 2.1 points and Cesena 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Benevento.

Benevento +0.9 pts vs chancesCesena −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Benevento vs Cesena stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Benevento had more than twice the shots on target

Benevento

Cesena

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Benevento and Cesena ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Benevento win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Modena – Cesena prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Benevento vs Cesena — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Benevento Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Benevento 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Cesena Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cesena 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Benevento vs Cesena 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Benevento vs Cesena. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Benevento2

Cesena0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Benevento2

Cesena0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

144%

X28%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	36%	64%	71%	29%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	36%	64%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X44%

221%

1st Score

154%

X8%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

1-0

10.7%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

7.9%

0-1

7.7%

0-0

7.6%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.6%

0-2

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Benevento vs Cesena — Recent Form

Benevento have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Cesena have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Benevento

Cesena

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Benevento

4/5

Cesena

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Benevento

1/5

Cesena

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Benevento

2/5

Cesena

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Benevento

3/5

Cesena

4/5

First Half Result

Benevento

3/5

Cesena

0/5

Correct Score

Benevento

0/5

Cesena

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Modena – Cesena prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).