Shot-shy
5/10Chengdu Rongcheng failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 21%).
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Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 30)
Unlucky
Chengdu Rongcheng are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−6points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. Shandong Taishan are the other way round, ahead of their chances: about +4 points.
Bookmakers: Chengdu Rongcheng 40% to winShandong Taishan 37%
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Super League average of 3.1.
goals expected
Shandong Taishan1.8Chengdu Rongcheng1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shandong Taishan to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 62%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 78%
Our track record
In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shandong Taishan ahead at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Shandong Taishan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shandong Taishan 2+ goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Chengdu Rongcheng Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chengdu Rongcheng 0–1 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 38%
Our track record
In 372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shandong Taishan–
Chengdu Rongcheng–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Shandong Taishan–Chengdu Rongcheng–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
146%
X24%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 50% | 50% |
| 33% | 67% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
139%
X36%
226%
1st Score
155%
X5%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Chengdu Rongcheng: shot-shy, slow starters and flop as favourites
5/10Slow starters
2/10Chengdu Rongcheng scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Flop as favourites
2/8Chengdu Rongcheng won only 2 of 8 as favourites (league 50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shandong Taishan: good attack, good defence (1.77 xG, 1.56 xGA a game)
- Chengdu Rongcheng: weak attack, good defence (1.57 xG, 1.44 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesShandong Taishan riding their luck, Chengdu Rongcheng unlucky
- Shandong TaishanBookmakers: 37% to win today.+4.2
- Chengdu RongchengBookmakers: 40% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals−6.1
Last 5 matches
Shandong TaishanW
W
D
D
W
Chengdu RongchengL
L
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shandong Taishan 5th of 16 · Chengdu Rongcheng 3rd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng games less often than the Super League average (63%), in Shandong Taishan games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Shandong Taishan6 of 10
Chengdu Rongcheng5 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Shandong Taishan7 of 10
Chengdu Rongcheng5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 248 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shandong Taishan2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng2/5
Both Teams to Score
Shandong Taishan4/5
Chengdu Rongcheng1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Shandong Taishan3/5
Chengdu Rongcheng2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Shandong Taishan2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng5/5
First Half Result
Shandong Taishan3/5
Chengdu Rongcheng3/5
Correct Score
Shandong Taishan1/5
Chengdu Rongcheng0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction