1. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger

0–0

Chongqing Tonglianglong FCChongqing Tonglianglong FC
0.7Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would usually take 1.6 points and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger −0.6 pts vs chancesChongqing Tonglianglong FC +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had more than twice the shots on target

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

0

2

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

3

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 23%

Our track record

In 1,532 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,861 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,585 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Our model’s pick

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.5% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger0
Chongqing Tonglianglong FCChongqing Tonglianglong FC0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

136%
X26%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger31%69%64%36%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC30%70%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger86%14%95%5%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC85%15%95%5%

1st Half

125%
X41%
234%

1st Score

138%
X7%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

9.4%

1-0

9.3%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.8%

0-0

7.3%

0-2

6.2%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

3.7%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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