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Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 2)

Smash-and-grab

Wuhan Three Towns won with fewer chances than Dalian Zhixing

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns

4–1

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing
1.1Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Wuhan Three Towns would usually take 0.8 points and Dalian Zhixing 2.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dalian Zhixing.

Wuhan Three Towns +2.3 pts vs chancesDalian Zhixing −2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Wuhan Three Towns

Dalian Zhixing

6

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

4

4

Corners

4

5

Yellow cards

1

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Wuhan Three Towns and Dalian Zhixing ended 4-1. Our AI model predicted an Dalian Zhixing win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dalian Zhixing – Sichuan prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dalian Zhixing to win

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,082 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Wuhan Three Towns Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Dalian Zhixing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dalian Zhixing 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,661 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns4
Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

136%
X26%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wuhan Three Towns31%69%64%36%
Dalian Zhixing29%71%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wuhan Three Towns85%15%95%5%
Dalian Zhixing84%16%94%6%

1st Half

129%
X38%
232%

1st Score

146%
X7%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

22%

X-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

0-1

9.3%

1-0

9.1%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

7.9%

0-0

7.1%

0-2

5.8%

2-0

5.8%

2-2

5.4%

1-3

3.7%

3-1

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dalian Zhixing – Sichuan prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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