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Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Songshan Longmen 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Fair result
Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing

2–1

Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
1.8Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Dalian Zhixing would usually take 2.2 points and Henan Songshan Longmen 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dalian Zhixing.

Dalian Zhixing +0.8 pts vs chancesHenan Songshan Longmen −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dalian Zhixing had clearly more shots on target

Dalian Zhixing

Henan Songshan Longmen

3

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

2

6

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

3

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Dalian Zhixing and Henan Songshan Longmen ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Dalian Zhixing win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Songshan Longmen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dalian Zhixing to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Dalian Zhixing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dalian Zhixing 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Songshan Longmen 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Songshan Longmen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

144%
X25%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Dalian Zhixing26%74%58%42%
Henan Songshan Longmen35%65%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Dalian Zhixing82%18%94%6%
Henan Songshan Longmen89%11%97%3%

1st Half

129%
X42%
230%

1st Score

148%
X7%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

21%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

10.3%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

8.4%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.3%

0-0

6.9%

2-2

5.3%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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