1. Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen

0–1

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.2Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Henan Songshan Longmen would usually take 1.9 points and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Henan Songshan Longmen.

Henan Songshan Longmen −1.9 pts vs chancesTianjin Jinmen Tiger +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Henan Songshan Longmen had clearly more shots on target

Henan Songshan Longmen

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

3

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

5

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Henan Songshan Longmen and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Henan Songshan Longmen win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,558 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,220 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen0
Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger1

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

150%
X25%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Henan Songshan Longmen23%77%54%46%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Henan Songshan Longmen78%22%92%8%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger92%8%98%2%

1st Half

144%
X40%
216%

1st Score

161%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

8%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

11.1%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.5%

0-0

7.8%

0-1

7.5%

1-2

6.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.8%

2-2

4.7%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Recent Form

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Henan Songshan Longmen have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
W
W
W
W
D
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
L
D
D
D
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
2/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
0/5

Both Teams to Score

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
2/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
3/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
5/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
4/5

First Half Result

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
3/5

Correct Score

Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1/5
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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