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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)
0–1
On these chances Henan Songshan Longmen would usually take 1.9 points and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Henan Songshan Longmen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Henan Songshan Longmen had clearly more shots on target
Henan Songshan Longmen
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
1
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
2
71%
Possession
29%
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Henan Songshan Longmen to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,558 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Henan Songshan Longmen ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,220 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% | |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
18%
X-X
16%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Recent Form
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Henan Songshan Longmen have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score