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Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result

Yunnan Yukun

1–1

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

1.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Yunnan Yukun would usually take 1.8 points and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Yunnan Yukun.

Yunnan Yukun −0.8 pts vs chancesChongqing Tonglianglong FC 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Yunnan Yukun had more than twice the shots on target

Yunnan Yukun

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Yunnan Yukun win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yunnan Yukun to win

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Yunnan Yukun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yunnan Yukun 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,393 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - China

Yunnan Yukun1

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Super League - China

Yunnan Yukun1

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

154%

X24%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%	72%	28%	87%	13%
	41%	59%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%
	41%	59%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	72%	28%	87%	13%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

141%

X40%

219%

1st Score

161%

X5%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.3%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

5.9%

3-1

5.8%

2-2

5.7%

3-0

5.5%

0-1

5.4%

0-0

5.4%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Recent Form

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Yunnan Yukun have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Yunnan Yukun

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Yunnan Yukun

3/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Yunnan Yukun

3/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Yunnan Yukun

3/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Yunnan Yukun

2/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

4/5

First Half Result

Yunnan Yukun

2/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

3/5

Correct Score

Yunnan Yukun

1/5

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction