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Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result

Qingdao Hainiu

0–4

Liaoning Tieren FC

0.6Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Qingdao Hainiu would usually take 0.5 points and Liaoning Tieren FC 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Liaoning Tieren FC.

Qingdao Hainiu −0.5 pts vs chancesLiaoning Tieren FC +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liaoning Tieren FC had more than twice the shots on target

Qingdao Hainiu

Liaoning Tieren FC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Qingdao Hainiu and Liaoning Tieren FC ended 0-4. Our AI model predicted a Qingdao Hainiu win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Qingdao Hainiu to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Liaoning Tieren FC to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 14%

Our track record

In 1,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,748 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,363 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 66%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 130 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Liaoning Tieren FC ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 2,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Qingdao Hainiu Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Qingdao Hainiu 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Liaoning Tieren FC Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Liaoning Tieren FC 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - China

Qingdao Hainiu0

Liaoning Tieren FC4

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Super League - China

Qingdao Hainiu0

Liaoning Tieren FC4

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

139%

X25%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%	56%	44%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	59%	41%	82%	18%	93%	7%
	29%	71%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	59%	41%
	29%	71%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	93%	7%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

128%

X42%

229%

1st Score

146%

X6%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

19%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

X-1

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

8.3%

1-0

8.1%

1-2

7.9%

2-2

6.0%

2-0

5.8%

0-0

5.7%

0-2

5.6%

3-1

4.1%

1-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC — Recent Form

Liaoning Tieren FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Qingdao Hainiu have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Liaoning Tieren FC

Qingdao Hainiu

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Qingdao Hainiu

3/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Qingdao Hainiu

2/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Qingdao Hainiu

4/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Qingdao Hainiu

3/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

2/5

First Half Result

Qingdao Hainiu

1/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

1/5

Correct Score

Qingdao Hainiu

0/5

Liaoning Tieren FC

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction