2. Leagues
  3. Super Lig
  4. Galatasaray vs Kayserispor

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
GalatasarayGalatasaray

4–0

KayserisporKayserispor
3.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Galatasaray would usually take 2.7 points and Kayserispor 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Galatasaray.

Galatasaray +0.3 pts vs chancesKayserispor −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Galatasaray had more than twice the shots on target

Galatasaray

Kayserispor

9

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

6

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

5

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Galatasaray and Kayserispor ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Galatasaray win with 70% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Galatasaray to win

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 323 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Galatasaray ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Galatasaray Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Galatasaray 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Kayserispor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kayserispor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 87%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Galatasaray vs Kayserispor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super Lig - Turkey
GalatasarayGalatasaray4
KayserisporKayserispor0

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

170%
X20%
210%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%50%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Galatasaray14%86%40%60%
Kayserispor61%39%87%13%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Galatasaray66%34%84%16%
Kayserispor97%3%99%1%

1st Half

160%
X27%
213%

1st Score

170%
X8%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

53%

X-1

17%

X-X

9%

2-2

5%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.7%

2-0

13.6%

2-1

8.8%

3-0

8.6%

0-0

8.0%

1-1

8.0%

3-1

5.8%

0-1

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores