OFK Beograd vs Bačka Topola 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)
OFK Beograd0–1
Bačka TopolaOn these chances OFK Beograd would usually take 0.9 points and Bačka Topola 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: OFK Beograd.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Bačka Topola stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Bačka Topola had clearly more shots on target
OFK Beograd
Bačka Topola
4
Shots on target
6
0
Big chances
4
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
3
64%
Possession
37%
OFK Beograd vs Bačka Topola — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bačka Topola to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: OFK Beograd to win.
Our track record
In 1,533 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,725 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,344 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,983 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
OFK Beograd 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Bačka Topola 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
OFK Beograd vs Bačka Topola 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OFK Beograd vs Bačka Topola. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
OFK Beograd0
Bačka Topola1Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
OFK Beograd0Bačka Topola1Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 82% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
19%
X-X
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score