Radnik Surdulica vs Radnički Niš 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)
Radnik Surdulica2–2
Radnički NišOn these chances Radnik Surdulica would usually take 1.7 points and Radnički Niš 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Radnik Surdulica.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Radnik Surdulica vs Radnički Niš stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Radnik Surdulica had clearly more shots on target
Radnik Surdulica
Radnički Niš
5
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
1
4
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
58%
Possession
42%
Radnik Surdulica vs Radnički Niš — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Radnik Surdulica to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Radnik Surdulica 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Radnički Niš 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Radnik Surdulica vs Radnički Niš 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Radnik Surdulica vs Radnički Niš. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Radnik Surdulica2
Radnički Niš2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Radnik Surdulica2Radnički Niš2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
17%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score