Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Radnički Kragujevac3–0
ZemunOn these chances Radnički Kragujevac would usually take 2.0 points and Zemun 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Radnički Kragujevac.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Radnički Kragujevac had more than twice the shots on target
Radnički Kragujevac
Zemun
6
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
2
5
Corners
5
4
Yellow cards
4
58%
Possession
42%
Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Radnički Kragujevac ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Zemun 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Radnički Kragujevac3
Zemun0Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Radnički Kragujevac3Zemun0Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 53% | 47% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
22%
X-X
17%
2-2
7%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score