Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda

3–0

Radnički NišRadnički Niš
3.2Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Crvena Zvezda would usually take 2.7 points and Radnički Niš 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Crvena Zvezda.

Crvena Zvezda +0.3 pts vs chancesRadnički Niš −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Crvena Zvezda had more than twice the shots on target

Crvena Zvezda

Radnički Niš

12

Shots on target

2

7

Big chances

0

7

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

2

73%

Possession

27%

The match between Crvena Zvezda and Radnički Niš ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Crvena Zvezda win with 76% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Niš – Vojvodina prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda to win

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,311 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 58.0%).

Crvena Zvezda Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Radnički Niš Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnički Niš 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 88%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.9% of the time (bookmakers said 85.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda3
Radnički NišRadnički Niš0

Winner

1 76%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

176%
X16%
28%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Crvena Zvezda9%91%30%70%
Radnički Niš61%39%88%12%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Crvena Zvezda57%43%77%23%
Radnički Niš98%2%100%0%

1st Half

159%
X30%
211%

1st Score

176%
X4%
220%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

54%

X-1

18%

X-X

9%

2-2

5%

1-X

3%

X-2

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

13.1%

1-0

10.4%

3-0

10.3%

2-1

9.5%

1-1

7.6%

3-1

6.7%

0-0

4.5%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Crvena Zvezda vs Radnički Niš — Recent Form

Crvena Zvezda have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Radnički Niš have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
W
W
W
W
D
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
L
W
L
D
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
4/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
2/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
2/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
4/5

First Half Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
2/5

Correct Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
1/5
Radnički NišRadnički Niš
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Niš – Vojvodina prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

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