Always on the scoresheet
0/10Sarmiento scored in all of their last 10 (league 34% fail to score).
Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Riding their luck
Sarmiento are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+8points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Gimnasia La Plata expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total: more goals than a typical Liga Profesional de Fútbol game (average 2.1).
goals expected
Gimnasia La Plata1.5Sarmiento1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento will be played on Friday, October 23 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 14 of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, played in Argentina. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Gimnasia La Plata–
Sarmiento–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Gimnasia La Plata–Sarmiento–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
154%
X25%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
135%
X48%
216%
1st Score
161%
X7%
231%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
21%
X-X
18%
2-2
10%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Sarmiento: always on the scoresheet and fast starters · Gimnasia La Plata: leaky
0/10Fast starters
7/10Sarmiento scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Leaky
1/10Gimnasia La Plata kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 34%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Gimnasia La Plata: good attack, good defence (1.65 xG, 1.40 xGA a game)
- Sarmiento: weak attack, weak defence (1.33 xG, 1.67 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesSarmiento are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Gimnasia La Plata+0.8
- SarmientoClinical · +7 goals+7.9
Last 5 matches
SarmientoW
L
D
W
L
Gimnasia La PlataD
D
D
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Gimnasia La Plata 17th of 30 · Sarmiento 25th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento games more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (45%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Gimnasia La Plata6 of 10
Sarmiento6 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Gimnasia La Plata8 of 10
Sarmiento7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 515 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSarmiento score late
Gimnasia La Plata
Sarmiento
4.3
Corners won · league 4.4
3.4
4.0
Corners conceded · league 4.4
6.9
2.6
Cards · league 2.6
2.1
2.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.6
2.0
27%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
44%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
39%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
29%
40%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
36%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Gimnasia La Plata0/5
Sarmiento2/5
Both Teams to Score
Gimnasia La Plata2/5
Sarmiento1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Gimnasia La Plata3/5
Sarmiento2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Gimnasia La Plata4/5
Sarmiento2/5
First Half Result
Gimnasia La Plata2/5
Sarmiento2/5
Correct Score
Gimnasia La Plata2/5
Sarmiento1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction