Always on the scoresheet
0/10Boca Juniors scored in all of their last 10 (league 33% fail to score).
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Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Riding their luck
Defensa y Justicia are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Boca Juniors are also ahead of their chances: about +6 points.
Bookmakers: Defensa y Justicia 9% to winBoca Juniors 70%
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Boca Juniors expected to create clearly more
2.4 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.
goals expected
Boca Juniors1.6
Defensa y Justicia0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors to win
Our model 58%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 2,875 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 2,287 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Boca Juniors Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors 0–1 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Defensa y Justicia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Defensa y Justicia 0–1 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Boca Juniors–
Defensa y Justicia–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Boca Juniors–Defensa y Justicia–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
158%
X24%
218%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 50% | 50% |
| 47% | 53% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
141%
X43%
216%
1st Score
164%
X7%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
20%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
10.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Boca Juniors: always on the scoresheet, banker as favourites and fast starters
0/10Banker as favourites
7/10Boca Juniors won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 42%).
Fast starters
7/10Boca Juniors scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Boca Juniors: good attack, good defence (1.52 xG, 1.08 xGA a game)
- Defensa y Justicia: good attack, weak defence (1.53 xG, 1.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBoth sides are winning more than their chances suggest
- Boca JuniorsBookmakers: 70% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+5.8
- Defensa y JusticiaBookmakers: 9% to win today.+6.9
Last 5 matches
Boca JuniorsW
W
W
D
W
Defensa y JusticiaW
L
W
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Boca Juniors 2nd of 30 · Defensa y Justicia 17th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (37%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 37%
Boca Juniors5 of 10
Defensa y Justicia4 of 10
BTTSleague 46%
Boca Juniors5 of 10
Defensa y Justicia4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 529 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 2.5
- Goals before half-time: league 41%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Boca Juniors4/5
Defensa y Justicia1/5
Both Teams to Score
Boca Juniors4/5
Defensa y Justicia3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Boca Juniors2/5
Defensa y Justicia2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Boca Juniors4/5
Defensa y Justicia4/5
First Half Result
Boca Juniors3/5
Defensa y Justicia0/5
Correct Score
Boca Juniors0/5
Defensa y Justicia0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction