Banker as favourites
4/6Independiente Rivadavia won 4 of 6 as favourites (league 43%).
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Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Banker as favourites
Independiente Rivadavia won 4 of 6 as favourites (league 43%).
4/6Wins as favourite · Independiente Rivadavia
Bookmakers: Independiente Rivadavia 36% to winGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 30%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total: more goals than a typical Liga Profesional de Fútbol game (average 2.1).
goals expected
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza1.2Independiente Rivadavia1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 30%
Our track record
In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 4,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Independiente Rivadavia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Independiente Rivadavia 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–
Independiente Rivadavia–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–Independiente Rivadavia–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
138%
X27%
234%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
128%
X49%
223%
1st Score
149%
X9%
242%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
X-X
19%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Independiente Rivadavia: banker as favourites
4/6Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.63 xGA a game)
- Independiente Rivadavia: good attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBookmakers: 30% to win today.+1.3
- Independiente RivadaviaBookmakers: 36% to win today.+2.0
Last 5 matches
Independiente RivadaviaW
L
D
L
D
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaD
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 25th of 30 · Independiente Rivadavia 11th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Independiente Rivadavia games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (37%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 37%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza5 of 10
Independiente Rivadavia6 of 10
BTTSleague 46%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza4 of 10
Independiente Rivadavia6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 533 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 2.5
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Independiente Rivadavia3/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3/5
Both Teams to Score
Independiente Rivadavia3/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Independiente Rivadavia2/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Independiente Rivadavia2/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza5/5
First Half Result
Independiente Rivadavia2/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3/5
Correct Score
Independiente Rivadavia2/5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction