2. Leagues
  3. Liga Profesional de Fútbol
  4. Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra

Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result
Barracas CentralBarracas Central

1–1

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
1.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Barracas Central would usually take 1.8 points and Deportivo Riestra 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: a draw.

Barracas Central −0.8 pts vs chancesDeportivo Riestra +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Barracas Central had more than twice the shots on target

Barracas Central

Deportivo Riestra

4

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

3

0

Corners

2

6

Yellow cards

5

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Barracas Central and Deportivo Riestra ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Barracas Central win at 37% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barracas Central – Estudiantes de Río Cuarto prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,757 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 92%

Our track record

In 1,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,256 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Barracas Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Deportivo Riestra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Barracas CentralBarracas Central1
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

137%
X30%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Barracas Central35%65%71%29%
Deportivo Riestra38%62%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Barracas Central91%9%98%2%
Deportivo Riestra92%8%98%2%

1st Half

128%
X54%
219%

1st Score

147%
X13%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

1-1

22%

X-1

17%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

13.6%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.8%

0-1

12.5%

2-1

7.2%

2-0

7.0%

1-2

6.9%

0-2

5.7%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barracas Central – Estudiantes de Río Cuarto prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores