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  4. Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata

Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Fair result
BanfieldBanfield

1–2

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
1.6Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Banfield would usually take 1.5 points and Gimnasia La Plata 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Banfield.

Banfield −1.5 pts vs chancesGimnasia La Plata +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Banfield

Gimnasia La Plata

5

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

2

8

Corners

3

5

Yellow cards

3

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Banfield and Gimnasia La Plata ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Banfield win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Sarmiento prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Gimnasia La Plata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
BanfieldBanfield1
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

145%
X29%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Banfield28%72%62%38%
Gimnasia La Plata42%58%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Banfield85%15%95%5%
Gimnasia La Plata93%7%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X49%
222%

1st Score

149%
X11%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

1-1

22%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.5%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

11.1%

0-1

9.4%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.4%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

4.3%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

3.8%

3-1

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Sarmiento prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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