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Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Robbed

Atlético Tucumán drew despite more chances

Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán

1–1

AldosiviAldosivi
1.7Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Atlético Tucumán would usually take 2.2 points and Aldosivi 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Tucumán.

Atlético Tucumán −1.2 pts vs chancesAldosivi +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Tucumán had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético Tucumán

Aldosivi

5

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

1

11

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Atlético Tucumán and Aldosivi ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Atlético Tucumán win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aldosivi – Belgrano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Tucumán to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Atlético Tucumán Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Aldosivi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aldosivi 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 2,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán1
AldosiviAldosivi1

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

150%
X27%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlético Tucumán24%76%58%42%
Aldosivi45%56%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlético Tucumán82%18%94%6%
Aldosivi94%6%99%1%

1st Half

135%
X46%
220%

1st Score

155%
X10%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

19%

X-1

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.1%

1-1

12.4%

0-0

9.8%

2-0

9.7%

2-1

9.4%

0-1

8.4%

1-2

5.5%

3-0

4.8%

3-1

4.3%

2-2

4.2%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aldosivi – Belgrano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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