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  4. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Fair result
Estudiantes de Río CuartoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto

0–1

BelgranoBelgrano
1.2Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Estudiantes de Río Cuarto would usually take 1.9 points and Belgrano 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Belgrano.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto −1.9 pts vs chancesBelgrano +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto had more than twice the shots on target

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Belgrano

2

Shots on target

1

0

Big chances

1

8

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

2

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Belgrano ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aldosivi – Belgrano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Belgrano to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,709 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Belgrano Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Belgrano 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Estudiantes de Río CuartoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto0
BelgranoBelgrano1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

139%
X31%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT40%60%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto34%66%70%30%
Belgrano41%59%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto90%10%97%3%
Belgrano93%7%98%2%

1st Half

130%
X49%
222%

1st Score

147%
X13%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

1-1

22%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.2%

1-1

13.7%

0-0

13.4%

0-1

11.9%

2-1

7.5%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

6.3%

0-2

5.5%

2-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aldosivi – Belgrano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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