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Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra

3–0

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Deportivo Riestra would usually take 1.2 points and Boca Juniors 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Boca Juniors.

Deportivo Riestra +1.9 pts vs chancesBoca Juniors −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Deportivo Riestra

Boca Juniors

4

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

2

Corners

8

3

Yellow cards

0

19%

Possession

81%

The match between Deportivo Riestra and Boca Juniors ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Boca Juniors win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente – Boca Juniors prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Deportivo Riestra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).

Boca Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,265 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors0

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

125%
X31%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT40%60%67%33%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Riestra45%55%80%20%
Boca Juniors31%69%68%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Riestra95%5%99%1%
Boca Juniors89%11%97%3%

1st Half

118%
X53%
229%

1st Score

135%
X14%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

2-2

23%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.6%

0-0

13.8%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

10.6%

0-2

8.9%

1-2

7.8%

2-1

5.4%

2-0

4.6%

2-2

3.5%

0-3

3.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente – Boca Juniors prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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