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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto0–1
Atlético TucumánOn these chances Estudiantes de Río Cuarto would usually take 1.3 points and Atlético Tucumán 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Tucumán.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Atlético Tucumán had more than twice the shots on target
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Atlético Tucumán
1
Shots on target
3
0
Big chances
1
4
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
49%
Possession
51%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Tucumán to win.
Our track record
In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Atlético Tucumán. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto0
Atlético Tucumán1Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto0Atlético Tucumán1Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| 36% | 65% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
26%
2-2
18%
1-1
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score