1. Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba

Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Fair result
InstitutoInstituto

3–1

Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba
1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Instituto would usually take 2.3 points and Talleres Córdoba 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Instituto.

Instituto +0.8 pts vs chancesTalleres Córdoba −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Instituto had more than twice the shots on target

Instituto

Talleres Córdoba

6

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

2

4

Corners

2

4

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Instituto and Talleres Córdoba ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Instituto win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Talleres Córdoba – Defensa y Justicia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Instituto to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Instituto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Instituto 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Talleres Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 2,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
InstitutoInstituto3
Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba1

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

148%
X28%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Instituto26%74%59%41%
Talleres Córdoba42%58%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Instituto82%18%93%7%
Talleres Córdoba93%7%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X53%
219%

1st Score

153%
X10%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

21%

X-1

19%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.1%

1-1

12.8%

0-0

10.2%

2-1

9.2%

0-1

8.6%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

6.0%

3-1

4.2%

0-2

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

3-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Talleres Córdoba – Defensa y Justicia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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