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Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)
3–1
On these chances Instituto would usually take 2.3 points and Talleres Córdoba 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Instituto.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Instituto had more than twice the shots on target
Instituto
Talleres Córdoba
6
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
2
4
Corners
2
4
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Instituto to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Instituto 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Instituto vs Talleres Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% | |
| 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% | |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
21%
X-1
19%
2-2
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score