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Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 11)
Estudiantes3–0
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaOn these chances Estudiantes would usually take 2.3 points and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Estudiantes.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Estudiantes had more than twice the shots on target
Estudiantes
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
5
Shots on target
2
7
Big chances
3
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
52%
Possession
49%
Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Estudiantes to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,341 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Estudiantes 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Estudiantes 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Estudiantes3
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Estudiantes3Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 53% | 47% |
| 48% | 52% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
19%
X-X
18%
2-2
10%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
10.0%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Estudiantes vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Recent Form
Estudiantes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Last 5 matches
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBoth Teams to Score
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFirst Half Result
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaCorrect Score
EstudiantesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza