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Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Unión Santa Fe0–2
Defensa y JusticiaOn these chances Unión Santa Fe would usually take 1.4 points and Defensa y Justicia 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Unión Santa Fe.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Defensa y Justicia had clearly more shots on target
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
7
Shots on target
10
3
Big chances
6
6
Corners
3
5
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
49%
Possession
51%
Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Unión Santa Fe to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Unión Santa Fe 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Defensa y Justicia 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Unión Santa Fe0
Defensa y Justicia2Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Unión Santa Fe0Defensa y Justicia2Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
20%
X-X
19%
2-2
10%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia — Recent Form
Defensa y Justicia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Unión Santa Fe have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Defensa y JusticiaUnión Santa FeOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Unión Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaBoth Teams to Score
Unión Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Unión Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Unión Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaFirst Half Result
Unión Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaCorrect Score
Unión Santa FeDefensa y Justicia