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Luxembourg vs Iceland 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League C (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Luxembourg vs Iceland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Luxembourg to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Iceland to win.
Our track record
In 1,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,235 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Luxembourg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Iceland 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,265 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Luxembourg vs Iceland 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Luxembourg vs Iceland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Luxembourg0
Iceland3Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Luxembourg0Iceland3Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
19%
X-X
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Luxembourg vs Iceland — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
IcelandLuxembourgBoth Teams to Score
IcelandLuxembourgOver/Under 2.5 Goals
IcelandLuxembourgOver/Under 3.5 Goals
IcelandLuxembourgFirst Half Result
IcelandLuxembourgCorrect Score
IcelandLuxembourg