Greece vs Netherlands Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Greece vs Netherlands — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Netherlands to win
Our track record
In 1,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,035 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.3%).
Our model’s pick
Netherlands ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,091 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Greece 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Netherlands 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Greece vs Netherlands — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Greece vs Netherlands. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Greece–
Netherlands–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Greece–Netherlands–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 70% | 30% |
 | 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 69% | 31% | 86% | 14% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
41%
1-1
14%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Greece vs Netherlands — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NetherlandsGreeceBoth Teams to Score
NetherlandsGreeceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NetherlandsGreeceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NetherlandsGreeceFirst Half Result
NetherlandsGreeceCorrect Score
NetherlandsGreece