- Home
- Greece vs Netherlands
Greece vs Netherlands 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Greece vs Netherlands — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Netherlands to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Netherlands ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Greece 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Netherlands 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Greece vs Netherlands 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Greece vs Netherlands. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Greece2
Netherlands2Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Greece2Netherlands2Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 39% | 61% | 69% | 31% |
 | 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 69% | 31% | 86% | 14% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
41%
1-1
14%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Greece vs Netherlands — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NetherlandsGreeceBoth Teams to Score
NetherlandsGreeceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NetherlandsGreeceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NetherlandsGreeceFirst Half Result
NetherlandsGreeceCorrect Score
NetherlandsGreece