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Malta vs Gibraltar 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League D (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Malta vs Gibraltar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Malta to win
WrongOur track record
In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Malta ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Our model’s pick
Malta 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Gibraltar 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Malta vs Gibraltar 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Malta vs Gibraltar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Malta1
Gibraltar1Winner
1 73%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Malta1Gibraltar1Winner
1 73%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12% | 88% | 34% | 66% |
 | 62% | 38% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 42% | 77% | 23% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
57%
X-1
17%
X-X
10%
2-2
5%
X-2
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Malta vs Gibraltar — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MaltaGibraltarBoth Teams to Score
MaltaGibraltarOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MaltaGibraltarOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MaltaGibraltarFirst Half Result
MaltaGibraltarCorrect Score
MaltaGibraltar