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Belgium vs Turkey 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Belgium vs Turkey — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Belgium to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 933 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Belgium ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Belgium 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Turkey 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Belgium vs Turkey 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Belgium vs Turkey. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Belgium3
Turkey0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Belgium3Turkey0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20% | 80% | 46% | 54% |
 | 34% | 66% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
17%
2-2
17%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
2-3
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Belgium vs Turkey — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BelgiumTurkeyBoth Teams to Score
BelgiumTurkeyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BelgiumTurkeyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BelgiumTurkeyFirst Half Result
BelgiumTurkeyCorrect Score
BelgiumTurkey