Poland vs Romania Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Poland vs Romania — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Poland to win
Our track record
In 2,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,074 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,738 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,386 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,091 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Poland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Romania 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Poland vs Romania — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Poland vs Romania. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Poland–
Romania–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Poland–Romania–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
 | 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Poland vs Romania — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PolandRomaniaBoth Teams to Score
PolandRomaniaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PolandRomaniaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PolandRomaniaFirst Half Result
PolandRomaniaCorrect Score
PolandRomania