Poland vs Romania 6-0 Score & Prediction Review

UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 3)

The match between Poland and Romania ended 6-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Poland win with 53% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

Poland vs Romania — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · UEFA Nations League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Poland to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Poland ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Poland Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Poland 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Poland 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Romania Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Romania 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,570 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Poland vs Romania 6-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Poland vs Romania. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PolandPoland6
RomaniaRomania0

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

153%
X25%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Poland21%79%52%48%
Romania43%57%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Poland77%23%91%9%
Romania93%7%98%2%

1st Half

136%
X44%
220%

1st Score

158%
X7%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.2%

1-1

11.7%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

9.3%

0-0

7.4%

0-1

7.0%

1-2

5.7%

3-0

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

2-2

4.5%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Poland vs Romania — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PolandPoland
2/3
RomaniaRomania
2/3

Both Teams to Score

PolandPoland
2/3
RomaniaRomania
2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PolandPoland
1/3
RomaniaRomania
2/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PolandPoland
1/3
RomaniaRomania
1/3

First Half Result

PolandPoland
0/3
RomaniaRomania
0/3

Correct Score

PolandPoland
0/3
RomaniaRomania
0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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